P(Alice)

P(Sarah|Alice, Annie, Johanna, Nickie)

P(LEADER|Sarah, Clarice, Enid)

YES

NO

Alice

Annie

Johanna

Nickie

結合

YES

NO

Sarah

Clarice

Enid

結合

YES

NO

0.5

0.5

YES

YES

YES

YES

0.9

0.1

YES

YES

YES

1

0

YES

YES

YES

NO

0.7

0.3

YES

YES

NO

0.6

0.4

P(Annie)

YES

YES

NO

YES

0.4

0.6

YES

NO

YES

0.75

0.25

YES

NO

YES

YES

NO

NO

0.4

0.6

YES

NO

NO

0.55

0.45

0.45

0.55

YES

NO

YES

YES

0.7

0.3

NO

YES

YES

0.45

0.55

YES

NO

YES

NO

0.4

0.6

NO

YES

NO

0.25

0.75

P(Johanna)

YES

NO

NO

YES

0.4

0.6

NO

NO

YES

0.3

0.7

YES

NO

YES

NO

NO

NO

0.2

0.8

NO

NO

NO

0

1

0.6

0.4

NO

YES

YES

YES

0.7

0.3

NO

YES

YES

NO

0.4

0.6

P(Nickie)

NO

YES

NO

YES

0.4

0.6

YES

NO

NO

YES

NO

NO

0.4

0.6

0.5

0.5

NO

NO

YES

YES

0.4

0.6

NO

NO

YES

NO

0.2

0.8

P(Hana)

NO

NO

NO

YES

0.2

0.8

YES

NO

NO

NO

NO

NO

0.1

0.9

0.35

0.65

P(Clarice|Hana, Beth, Sally)

P(Beth)

Hana

Beth

Sally

結合

YES

NO

YES

NO

YES

YES

YES

0.95

0.05

0.7

0.3

YES

YES

NO

0.8

0.2

YES

NO

YES

0.8

0.2

P(Sally)

YES

NO

NO

0.6

0.4

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

0.4

0.6

0.35

0.65

NO

YES

NO

0.2

0.8

NO

NO

YES

0.2

0.8

P(Liz)

NO

NO

NO

0.05

0.95

YES

NO

0.5

0.5

P(Enid|Liz, Tricia)

Liz

Tricia

結合

YES

NO

P(Tricia)

YES

YES

0.1

0.9

YES

NO

YES

NO

0.3

0.7

0.5

0.5

NO

YES

0.3

0.7

NO

NO

0.9

0.1